2025 Super Bowl Odds: 49ers are early favorites; Chiefs, Ravens and Bills among the top teams

The Chiefs beat the 49ers in overtime to win Super Bowl LVIII.

Is it too early to start looking forward to Super Bowl LVIX being held in New Orleans? Never. The San Francisco 49ers are Super Bowl favorites at +500 at BetMGMdespite losing to the Kansas City Chiefs (+700 to repeat) in Super Bowl 58. The Baltimore Ravens (+850), Buffalo Bills (+1200) and Detroit Lions (+1200) have the next best odds.

Of course, the Chiefs are still one of the favorites to win the AFC. It’s assumed that general manager Brett Veach will do everything in his power to find help for Patrick Mahomes after the offense struggled through much of the regular season.

Along with the Chiefs, the Ravens, Bills and Bengals are the AFC favorites. The Jets have worse odds now (+3000) than they did last season (+2500), and that was even before they acquired Aaron Rodgers from Green Bay, although there were already rumors circulating that Rodgers wanted to leave Wisconsin and move to the big leagues Apple.

Among teams with new coaches, the Los Angeles Chargers (+2500) have the best odds with new coach Jim Harbaugh. The Angels exceeds 45 million dollars the salary cap for next season, according to OverTheCap.com.

If you’re looking for teams that can make a splash in free agency, the Commanders, Titans, Patriots, Bengals and Colts have the most salary caps right now.

Detroit (+1200) completed its 180th turn from lovable underdog to favorite in the NFC. Dallas and Philadelphia are still atop their respective conferences, but there will be changes for both teams this offseason. Dallas lost defensive coordinator Dan Quinn to Washington, and Philadelphia hired Kellen Moore as its new offensive coordinator and Vic Fangio to lead its defense.

The Carolina Panthers, Tennessee Titans and New England Patriots all have the worst odds to win the Super Bowl. All three teams will have new coaches next year.

However, betting on favorites that far out is probably not a good betting strategy. Consider that the Chiefs had worse odds of making the playoffs this year (+1000) than winning the Super Bowl last year (+600).

Super Bowl 59 Odds (@BetMGM)

To help understand where these teams might go this offseason, especially regarding expectations, we reached out to our beat writers to gauge how they see teams entering the offseason.


2025 Super Bowl odds: Texans, Eagles and Falcons have the biggest swings compared to last preseason

Detroit Lions +1200

The Lions have the fifth-best Super Bowl odds in 2024, and that seems about right. In their first postseason run together, with the fifth-youngest roster in the NFL, the Lions reached the NFC championship game and held a 24–7 lead. If they had made the plays necessary to win the game, they would have been in Las Vegas hoping to lift the Lombardi. Instead, they’ll use a disappointing loss as motivation and work to get there next season. Detroit’s top talents: Penei Sewell, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Aidan Hutchinson, Sam LaPorta, Jahmyr Gibbs, etc. – should only get better with age. QB Jared Goff has now taken two teams to the NFC Championship games and is coming off another strong season. Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson returned for another year, once again turning down coaching opportunities. And the Lions will look to improve a secondary that needs an influx of talent. Detroit’s schedule and division look tougher on paper, but considering everything the Lions have to offer, they are well positioned for another deep postseason run. —Colton Pouncy, Lions writer

New York Jets +3000

The Jets, as well as any other team on this list, have the ability to swing wildly in either direction. This is the Aaron Rodgers factor. The Jets have plenty of holes to fill on offense (offensive line, wide receiver) and issues to overcome (offensive coordinator) but ultimately how far the Jets get (or not) depends largely on the version of Rodgers they get. He’ll turn 41 this season and is coming off Achilles surgery, so it’s fair to be skeptical that the Jets will make any noise, but they still have one of the best defenses in the NFL, which will remain mostly intact and bring back two stars on offense in Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. —Zack Rosenblatt, Jets writer

Green Bay Packers +2500

I’m surprised the Packers’ odds are this high considering how they finished the 2023 season. After starting 3-6, they made the playoffs, dismantled the Cowboys in the wild-card round, and battled the 49ers in the playoffs. division. In his first season as the full-time starting quarterback, Jordan Love showed why he can be the right man for Green Bay for the next decade-plus, and most of his supporting cast, in an offense that has thrived in second half of the season, will return in 2024. The big questions are in the other two phases. Can the Packers improve their kicking game (pun intended), and can new defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley maximize his talents on his side of the ball in a way that Joe Barry couldn’t? If Green Bay can do both, there’s no reason the Packers can’t be in contention to bring home the Lombardi Trophy. —Matt Schneidman, Packers writer

To consider the Dolphins as serious Super Bowl contenders, they need to beat teams at their same level or better on a semi-consistent basis. That didn’t happen in 2023, with just one win against a team that finished with a winning record: the Dallas Cowboys in Week 16. The 2024 schedule will also be tougher, facing the AFC South, the NFC West and the Packers outside of Miami. AFC East opponents.

Tua Tagovailoa will, as of now, enter the final year of his rookie contract in 2024. Will Miami take care of their quarterback before Week 1? Additionally, you have to wonder if the defense will be able to rally after numerous injuries, particularly to the edge rusher, took a toll late in the 2023 season. So you have to ask yourself if the Dolphins are the best or even second-best team in the league. ‘AFC East with the Bills as the defending champions and Aaron Rodgers set to take more than a handful of snaps at QB like last year’s injury-plagued season. —Larry Holder, senior NFL writer

You know the Texans will be one of the sexiest bets heading into the 2024 season: two of the best young players at premium positions with quarterback CJ Stroud and edge rusher Will Anderson. Add in budding star coach DeMeco Ryans and an improving roster, and Houston has what it takes to take the next step.

Now, the Texans won’t face a bottom-of-the-pack schedule this season after winning the AFC South. So they’ll have the Chiefs, Ravens and Bills, along with the AFC East and NFC North join their AFC South slate: They’ll bring back a healthy NFL Draft pick, Anthony Richardson, for the Colts. But the Texans appeared to hold their own against all opponents during the 2023 regular season before falling to the Ravens in the AFC divisional round. I expect the Texans to improve in 2024 and for Stroud to only improve after one of the strongest rookie QB campaigns in recent memory. If that happens, you never know… —Holder

(Top photo: Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)